What challenges do we face because the Alaska economy is dominated by a depleting natural resource--oil?

Alaska's significant petroleum resources have been both a blessing and a challenge. Exploitation of Cook Inlet and North Slope fields has provided most of the wealth to support Alaska's entry into statehood and as well as most of its economic growth through the last decades of the twentieth century. With oil production now down to half the peak rate, Alaska faces the challenge of a transition to a post-Prudhoe bay economy without stumbling. Because of this unique economic structure, development lessons from other places often don't fit in Alaska. We must look to other resource-rich countries, to our own past, and to a better understanding of the unique features of our own NON-RENEWABLE RESOURCE ECONOMY.

Available products are listed below each project.

Transparency of Government Accounts
  State and local government plays a larger role in the economy of Alaska than any other state. In 2002 the total state budget of $7.4 billion, including federal grants and the Permanent Fund dividend, supported about 100 thousand jobs in the state. For a variety of reasons Alaskans have a very limited understanding of either the sources of funds for this budget or where the money goes. This lack of understanding makes it difficult to implement the fiscal reforms necessary to maintain a balanced budget in future years as oil revenues continue to fall. The product of this study is a better understanding of how to communicate complicated fiscal information to the public so that they can make more informed decisions about fiscal issues important to the economic future of the state.
 
    Contact Sharman Haley
    Product Title
       
    Report Understanding Alaska State Finance: What Every Citizen Wants to Know and How to Convey that Information Effectively
    Appendices Appendix A, Appendix B
     Power Point Understanding Alaska State Finances
 
Economic Development Lessons from the Past
  Alaskans have been pursuing economic development at least since the discovery of gold at the turn of the last century and many lessons about what works and doesn't and why can be learned by studying the many experiences of the past. The product of this historical review will be a set of lessons about Alaska economic development that every practicing Alaskan economic development specialist should keep in mind.
 
    Contact Terrence Cole
    Product Title
    Report  Blinded by Riches: The Permanent Funding Problem and the Prudhoe Bay Effect
    Research Summary Blinded by Riches: The Prudhoe Bay Effect
 
Structure of the Alaska Economy
  Although the economic history of Alaska is dominated by cycles of natural resource exploitation, the state economy today is dependent on oil and the federal government for about 2/3 of all jobs and income. The combined contribution of the traditional resource sectors of fishing, timber, mining, and agriculture is about 1/6 of total economic activity. The product of this study is a model that gives us a better understanding of the importance of each basic industry in the structure of the Alaska economy as well as differences across economic regions in the state.
 
    Contact Scott Goldsmith
    Product Title
     Database Structural Overview
     Power Point Structural Overview
 
Resource Curse
  The OPEC countries, Norway, Alberta, and other places have, like Alaska, been blessed with huge petroleum revenue windfalls in the recent past. Curiously, economic growth in most of these places has lagged behind the average of other economies and this phenomenon has come to be known as the "Resource Curse". The product of this study is a report on what the causes of the "Resource Curse" are, how other places have dealt with the challenges imposed by sudden economic wealth, and most importantly, what lessons Alaska can learn from the experiences, and mistakes, of other places.
 
    Contact Scott Goldsmith
    Product Title
    Report Sustainable Development and Sustainable Income from Alaska's Resources
      Figures for Sustainable Development report
 
Role of Public Policy in Economic Development
  The question of the role of the public sector in economic development is unique to Alaska because the state and federal governments own such a large share of the natural resources that are the foundation of the economy. At the same time there are a number of different strategies that are typical of economic development efforts in other places. The product of this study will be a review of different economic development strategies, recognizing both the similarities and differences between the Alaska economy and other locations.
 
    Contact Scott Goldsmith
  Product Title
     Power Point  Fostering Alaska Business Development
 
Influence of Fiscal Policy on Economic Development
  Economic development requires a partnership between the private and public sectors wherein the public sector provides much of the infrastructure necessary for development as well as many of the services required for businesses to be successful. The taxes used to collect the revenues to pay for these services will inevitably have some adverse impact on the profitability of business operations. Furthermore in Alaska a large share of the tax base is "missing" due to the large presence of the federal government in the economy. The necessity of a fair and efficient tax system that is supportive of economic development efforts is an increasingly important concern as our petroleum tax base shrinks in relation to our public needs. The product of this study will be an analysis of the relationship between different fiscal policies, particularly different tax policies, and economic development.
    Contact Larry Persily
  Product Title
Economic Development Through Ownership of Oil & Gas
  This study reviews petroleum leasing laws and regulations that regulate exploration development of oil lands. It also looks closely at policies regarding the state's royalty share of oil and gas, and other programs that give the state an opportunity to direct "downstream" oil and gas development. Issues to address include laws that allow the state to take royalty share in kind or in value, the TAPS tariff structure and the "quality bank," long-term contracts for royalty oil and gas, and local hire provisions in leases.

The primary questions the study will evaluate are:
1. What have been the state's development objectives with respect to oil and gas, and how have these objectives evolved over the years?
2. What specific programs adopted through laws, regulations, and policies has the state developed to pursue these objectives?
3. Which programs have been most successful in achieving the objectives, and which were less successful, and what can we learn from the successes that might provide insight for other development programs?

Examples of programs or projects to consider include:

1. Instate refineries providing import substitution
2. Cook Inlet natural gas export facilities (Agrium, LNG)
3. Attempts to build export refineries and petrochemical plants
4. Royalty gas contracts to stabilize Cook Inlet utility markets
5. Royalty gas sales for North Slope production facilities
6. Use of royayty gas to promote export North Slope gas pipelines
7. Lease renegotiations that promote local hire efforts such as the Northstar
8. Exploration incentive tax credits

    Contact Matt Berman
  Report Economic Development Through State Ownership of Oil and Gas: Evaluating Alaska's Royalty-In-Kind Program
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